Millions Vote in Crucial Local Elections Across England, Scotland, and Wales Testing Starmer's Government

Election Day Unfolds: Polls Open Across the United Kingdom

On Thursday, May 7, 2026, polling stations from the bustling streets of London to the quiet villages of rural England swung open at 7 a.m. BST, marking the start of one of the most anticipated sets of local and devolved elections in recent British history. Millions of eligible voters across England, Scotland, and Wales headed to the polls, casting ballots not just for local councillors but also in pivotal devolved parliamentary contests. Prime Minister Keir Starmer himself cast his vote early in the morning, acknowledging the significance of the day as a major test for his Labour government's performance since taking power in the 2024 general election.

The atmosphere was charged with anticipation and tension. Long queues formed in key urban areas, a rare sight for local elections typically plagued by low turnout. Campaigners from all major parties lined the streets, handing out final leaflets and urging undecided voters to make their voices heard. With polls closing at 10 p.m., results are expected to trickle in overnight, with full council declarations stretching into Friday and the weekend. This election comes at a precarious moment for the governing Labour Party, which swept to power less than two years ago but now grapples with plummeting approval ratings and a fractured opposition landscape.

The Vast Scale of the 2026 Contests

These elections encompass a staggering array of races. In England alone, voters are electing 5,066 councillors across 136 local authorities, including all 32 London boroughs, 28 metropolitan boroughs, 18 unitary authorities, six county councils, and 48 district councils. Additionally, six directly elected mayors are up for grabs in London boroughs such as Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and Watford. In Scotland, elections to the Scottish Parliament at Holyrood will see 129 Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) chosen, while in Wales, the Senedd Cymru will elect 92 members alongside two council by-elections.

Over 25,000 candidates are vying for these positions, representing a diverse field from the established parties to independents and newcomers. Labour is defending around 2,196 seats in England, the Conservatives 1,134, Liberal Democrats 663, Greens 170, and Reform UK a modest 78. The sheer volume underscores the decentralized nature of British democracy, where local governance handles everything from bin collections to social housing and planning permissions.

Labour's Post-Election Blues: From Honeymoon to Heartache

Since Labour's landslide victory in July 2024, the party has faced a rude awakening. What began as a 'honeymoon' period soured quickly amid economic headwinds, including persistent inflation, rising energy costs, and unpopular policy decisions like cuts to winter fuel payments for pensioners. Local issues have compounded national woes: the prolonged bin strike in Birmingham, Labour's largest council, has left streets piled high with rubbish, symbolizing broader governance failures.

Polling data reveals Labour's vote share in local contests has cratered from 35% in 2022 to around 20% today. Defending seats won during the Conservative 'Partygate' scandal era, the party is vulnerable on multiple fronts. Analysts point to voter disillusionment with unfulfilled promises on housing, NHS waiting lists, and economic growth. Starmer's centrist pivot—tough on immigration while promising green investment—has alienated both the party's left wing and working-class base.

Starmer's Leadership on the Line

For Keir Starmer, these results represent 'judgment day.' As one of the least popular prime ministers in modern polling, his personal ratings hover in the low 20s. Pundits speculate that catastrophic losses could ignite leadership speculation within Labour ranks, though party rules make an immediate challenge unlikely. Rivals have been quiet, but whispers of plots persist.

Starmer has managed expectations, calling the elections a 'challenge' and urging voters to reject 'protest votes' for Reform UK or the Greens. Yet, with Labour controlling most councils up for grabs, even modest losses will sting. A net loss of 1,000 seats would be historic; projections whisper of 1,900.

Reform UK's Explosive Breakthrough

Nigel Farage's Reform UK has dominated headlines, surging from fringe player to poll leader. With heavy campaign spending exceeding £5 million, the party is contesting nearly every ward. Its anti-immigration rhetoric resonates in post-industrial towns and rural shires, even where migrant numbers are low. Polls project Reform gaining 1,500-2,260 seats in England alone, potentially seizing control of counties like Essex, Norfolk, and Suffolk from the Conservatives.

Controversies abound: investigations into undeclared donations and internal scandals haven't dented momentum. In Wales, Reform eyes top spot in the Senedd; in Scotland, a right-wing breakthrough from zero seats.

Photo by Cyrus Crossan on Unsplash

The Green Party's Urban Ambition

On Labour's left flank, the Greens under new leader Zack Polanski are targeting progressive heartlands. With promises of rent controls, social housing expansion, and leasehold abolition, they're polling first in parts of London. Hackney, Lewisham, Lambeth, and Waltham Forest are prime targets, where Labour's vote has dropped 24 points since 2022. Recent by-election wins, like Gorton and Denton, signal potential for 450-1,000 gains.

In Scotland and Wales, Greens eye coalition roles amid fragmented votes.

Battlegrounds: Where the Action Is

England's contests divide into hotspots:

• Northern Heartlands: Sunderland (Labour since 1974), Barnsley, Wigan, Bradford—Reform leads polls, threatening Labour's red wall.
• London Boroughs: All 32 up; Greens vs Labour in inner (Hackney, Lewisham); Reform in outer (Barking & Dagenham, Havering); Tories eye Barnet regain.
• Shire Counties: Essex, Norfolk, Suffolk—Reform to flip from Tory.
• Mayors: Croydon (Con hold?), Hackney/Lewisham (Lab vs Green).

Check detailed projections in the PollCheck interactive map.

Devolved Drama in Scotland and Wales

Scotland's Holyrood election sees SNP poised for majority amid Labour's collapse to 12% seats. Reform enters as largest right-wing force. In Wales, Labour risks third place in Senedd behind Reform (37 seats projected) and Plaid Cymru (36), ending decades of dominance in valleys like Rhondda and Merthyr Tydfil. For more, see the Guardian's mapped analysis.

Driving Voter Concerns

Immigration tops lists, fueling Reform; cost-of-living, housing, and bins drive others. NHS strains, policing, and environment round out priorities. Cultural divides pit progressive urbanites against conservative suburbs.

The Turnout Enigma

Local elections suffer chronically low participation—often 30-35%. Fragmentation may suppress further, with seats won on 15% shares. Yet, high stakes could boost it. Eligible voters number in tens of millions across regions.

Photo by Planet Volumes on Unsplash

Polling Projections: A New Political Order

Consensus forecasts:

• Labour: 616-700 seats (net loss 1,500+)
• Reform: 1,500-2,200 (huge gains)
• Greens: 1,000+
• Lib Dems: 700-900
• Cons: 700-800 (losses)

Aftermath and Horizons

Massive Labour losses signal two-party system's demise, paving multiparty coalitions. For Starmer, survival but policy shifts likely. Watch for Reform council takeovers reshaping local priorities. As results unfold, UK politics enters uncharted territory.