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About Ahsan ul
Dr. Ahsan ul Haq Satti is Associate Professor of Economics and Director of the Center for Economic Modelling and Data Analytics (CEMDA) at the Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE). He obtained his Ph.D. in Econometrics from the International Islamic University Islamabad in 2014, M.Sc. in Statistics from the University of Arid Agriculture Rawalpindi in 2005, M.Sc. in Economics from the International Islamic University Islamabad in 1999, and B.Sc. in Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics from Punjab University in 1996. Since September 2014, he has served as Assistant Professor at PIDE, advancing to Associate Professor, and has been Visiting Faculty at the School of Economics and Management Science, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, since September 2008. In this capacity, he teaches courses such as Mathematical Economics I and II, Linear Algebra, Calculus, Time Series Econometrics, Econometrics Forecasting, and Dynamic Optimization.
Dr. Satti's research specializations include econometrics, time series analysis, monetary policy, fiscal policy, inflation forecasting, exchange rate volatility, structural equation modeling, regional macroeconomic modeling, shadow economy, and earnings management. He has supervised over 50 M.Phil. and Ph.D. dissertations, including works on causality methods for panel data, health poverty dynamics, oil price uncertainty, and financial output gap estimation. Currently, he supervises Ph.D. students on federal tax revenue forecasting and regularized generalized consistent linear partial least squares structural equation modeling. As a trainer, he has delivered sessions for the National Agricultural Research Centre on trade modeling, Federal Bureau of Statistics on econometrics, and other institutions on statistical analysis and research skills. His contributions extend to policy engagement with the Ministry of Planning on macroeconomic forecasting and evidence-based policymaking.
Key publications comprise "Price Setting Behaviour of Pakistani Firms: Evidence from Four Industrial Cities of Punjab" (The Pakistan Development Review, 2008, with Wasim Shahid Malik and Ghulam Saghir), "New Keynesian Phillips Curve for Pakistan" (The Pakistan Development Review, 2008), "The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time" (The Pakistan Development Review, 2017), "Inflation Forecasting under Different Macroeconomic Conditions: A Case Study of Pakistan" (Journal of Quantitative Methods, 4(2), 101-127), "Regional Macroeconomic Model for Pakistan" (Paradigms Journal of Commerce, Economics and Social Science, 2020, Vol. 14, No. 1, 125-131), and recent outputs such as "Pakistan’s Exposure to a Strait of Hormuz Shock: Fuel Pricing, Inflation, and External Vulnerability" (2026) and "Reforming the Federal Public Sector Development Programme" (2023).