Lung Cancer Screening Risks Australia | MJA Warning

Curtin Expert Warns NLCSP Success Depends on National Investment

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Photo by Robina Weermeijer on Unsplash

Launch of Australia's National Lung Cancer Screening Program Sparks Optimism and Caution

Australia's National Lung Cancer Screening Program (NLCSP), rolled out in July 2025, marks a pivotal advancement in tackling the nation's deadliest cancer. Targeting high-risk individuals aged 50 to 74 with at least a 20-pack-year smoking history or equivalent exposure, the program employs low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) scans to detect lung cancer at its earliest, most treatable stages. Early diagnosis via LDCT can boost five-year survival rates to nearly 70 percent, a stark improvement over the less than 5 percent for advanced cases. 72 71 In 2025 alone, over 15,000 Australians faced a lung cancer diagnosis, underscoring the urgency of this initiative. 49

Yet, as enrollment surpasses 49,000 participants by late 2025, experts caution that screening's promise hinges on robust follow-up care. Without it, the program risks amplifying disparities and overwhelming strained systems.

Curtin University Expert Leads MJA Warning on Systemic Risks

Professor Fraser Brims, a respiratory physician at Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital and Curtin Medical School, co-authored a timely Medical Journal of Australia (MJA) perspective titled "National Screening, National Responsibility: Turning Promise Into Progress for Lung Cancer Care." 69 Affiliated with the Institute for Respiratory Health, Brims highlights that only 41 percent of treatment centers boast the recommended multidisciplinary teams, with roughly half lacking specialist lung cancer nurses—proven to enhance survival and cut admissions. 72

"Screening does not save lives on its own. What happens after diagnosis is just as important," Brims states, emphasizing workforce shortages, uneven access to advanced diagnostics like next-generation sequencing, and postcode-determined outcomes. Curtin University's role in respiratory research positions Brims as a key voice, bridging clinical practice and policy. 71

The paper projects lung cancer's economic toll at $8.3 billion annually by 2031, yet funding lags behind its burden. For academics eyeing respiratory health careers, opportunities abound at institutions like Curtin—check higher-ed-jobs for faculty positions in medical research.

The Alarming Burden of Lung Cancer in Australia

Lung cancer claims more lives yearly than breast and prostate cancers combined, with around 9,000 deaths projected for 2025. Incidence stands at 15,108 new cases, disproportionately affecting Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander communities at twice the rate of non-Indigenous Australians. 49 50 Never-smokers comprise 20 percent of cases, linked to radon, air pollution, and genetics.

Median diagnosis age is 71, but delays mean 80 percent present advanced. NLCSP aims to shift this, yet implementation gaps loom large.

Lung cancer incidence and mortality statistics in Australia 2025

Incidental Findings: The Hidden Risks of LDCT Screening

LDCT scans reveal more than tumors—72.8 percent of high-risk participants in the International Lung Screen Trial (ILST) showed incidental findings, with 10.3 percent needing follow-up. Emphysema affected 54 percent (many undiagnosed), coronary artery calcification (CAC) 69 percent, interstitial abnormalities, thyroid nodules, and fractures also common. 73

Australian sites reported higher follow-up needs (16.7 percent vs. Canada's 4.5 percent), signaling inconsistent protocols. Risks include overdiagnosis, unnecessary biopsies, anxiety, and costs. Brims co-authored this MJA study, stressing standardized reporting for NLCSP. 73

Link to full study: MJA Incidental Findings Research.

Uncovering Undiagnosed COPD and Respiratory Comorbidities

Screening will spotlight chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), Australia's fifth deadliest condition, with hospitalizations every 10 minutes. Up to 50 percent undiagnosed, especially rurally. Moderate-severe emphysema in 20 percent of scans offers intervention windows: cessation, rehab, inhalers, vaccines—reducing mortality 20-30 percent. 70

Yet, spirometry assessments dropped 31 percent (2015-2023), straining services. Multidisciplinary models, nurse-led, are urged to avert overload.

Workforce Shortages and Access Disparities

Thoracic surgeons, oncologists scarce outside metros; NGS access limited. Lung cancer nurses, survival boosters, absent in half centers. Rural patients suffer delays, worse outcomes. Brims: "We cannot allow postcode to determine outcome." 72

Universities like Curtin train future specialists—explore higher-ed-career-advice for respiratory paths.

Equity Challenges for Indigenous Communities

Aboriginal/Torres Strait Islander incidence/mortality double non-Indigenous, compounded by remoteness, comorbidities. Culturally safe screening/treatment vital. Ongoing trials adapt NLCSP; national registry could benchmark equity.

Path Forward: Recommendations for Success

  • National clinical quality registry for benchmarking, real-time feedback.
  • Boost specialist nurses, surgeons, diagnostics.
  • Integrate cessation services, Medicare-supported.
  • Ramp research funding, biobanks.
  • Stakeholder collaboration for standards.

Brims: "With coordinated national action, we can change the story." Link to MJA paper: Full MJA Perspective. 69

University Research Driving Respiratory Health Advances

Curtin Medical School's Prof Brims exemplifies uni contributions. ILST involved UQ, UMelb, UWA, UNSW. For profs/researchers, rate-my-professor insights; jobs at /au unis via university-jobs.

Here's a caption for the image: human lungs with trachea shown.

Photo by Aakash Dhage on Unsplash

Low-dose CT scan image from lung cancer screening research

Future Outlook and Actionable Insights

NLCSP could save thousands yearly if resourced. Individuals: assess risk via GP, quit smoking. Policymakers: fund registry/nurses. Researchers: leverage data for trials. With investment, Australia's lung cancer story transforms—Curtin, IRH lead way.

Explore higher-ed-jobs, rate-my-professor, higher-ed-career-advice for respiratory careers.

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Frequently Asked Questions

🫁What is Australia's National Lung Cancer Screening Program?

The NLCSP, launched July 2025, offers free LDCT scans to high-risk 50-74yo with ≥20 pack-years smoking. Aims early detection, 70% survival boost.Gov site

⚠️What risks does MJA research highlight in lung cancer screening?

MJA papers warn of incidental findings (72.8%), undiagnosed COPD (54% emphysema), care gaps, workforce shortages risking program failure.

👨‍⚕️Who is Prof Fraser Brims and his role?

Curtin Medical School prof, IRH researcher, lead MJA author urging national registry, nurses for NLCSP success.

📊How common are incidental findings in LDCT?

72.8% participants; emphysema 54%, CAC 69%. 10.3% need follow-up, higher in Aus sites.MJA study

🌬️Why COPD a major screening risk?

Undiagnosed in 50%, screening uncovers moderate cases in 20%, straining services without new pathways.

📈Lung cancer stats Australia?

15k+ diagnoses, 9k deaths 2025; leading killer, double Indigenous rates.

👥Workforce gaps in lung cancer care?

41% have MDTs, half lack nurses; rural access poor.

Recommendations from MJA paper?

National registry, fund nurses/surgeons, NGS access, equity focus.Read full

🌏Indigenous lung cancer disparities?

Twice incidence/mortality; need culturally safe NLCSP adaptations.

🎓Career in respiratory research Australia?

Unis like Curtin lead; see higher-ed-jobs, rate-my-professor.

💰Economic impact of lung cancer?

$8.3B by 2031; underfunded research.