Deteriorating Math Performance Among Canadian Students Sparks Urgent Calls for Action in Higher Education

The Roots of the Math Proficiency Crisis Reaching Canadian Higher Education

Canada's higher education landscape is grappling with a profound challenge stemming from the long-term deterioration in mathematics performance among incoming students. For years, international assessments like the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) and Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) have documented a steady decline in math scores across all provinces, a trend that predates the COVID-19 pandemic and continues into 2026. 39 40 This erosion of foundational skills directly undermines university and college programs, particularly in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) fields, where rigorous quantitative abilities are non-negotiable. As first-year students arrive on campuses from the University of British Columbia (UBC) to Memorial University, professors report unprecedented gaps in basic algebra, calculus readiness, and problem-solving prowess, forcing institutions to rethink remediation and support structures.

The crisis manifests in higher failure rates in introductory math courses, reduced retention in STEM majors, and a broader skills shortage that threatens Canada's competitiveness in a digital economy. University leaders, including those at Simon Fraser University (SFU), have warned that ignoring these slipping scores endangers future innovation and workforce development. 71 With Canadian fourth-graders ranking 32nd out of 64 countries in the 2023 TIMSS math assessment—below the international average—incoming undergraduates are arriving less prepared than ever. 44 This section explores how K-12 shortcomings cascade into higher education, setting the stage for urgent institutional responses.

PISA and TIMSS Revelations: Quantifying the Decade-Long Slide

The Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), administered by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) every three years to 15-year-olds, paints a stark picture. In 2022, Canada's average math score plummeted to 497, a 15-point drop from 2018 and 35 points from 2003—equivalent to nearly a full year of lost learning. 42 48 Only 12% of Canadian students reached the top proficiency levels (5 or 6), compared to 41% in Singapore and 23% in Japan. The Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), focusing on grades 4 and 8, confirmed this in 2023: Canadian grade 4 students fell below international averages on nearly every benchmark, with declines across all provinces. 40 46

These metrics translate directly to higher education challenges. Universities like the University of Waterloo, renowned for STEM, note that students struggling with basic operations face barriers in advanced coursework. A C.D. Howe Institute report highlights that despite above-OECD-average per-student spending (US$125,260 cumulatively from ages 6-15), outcomes lag due to instructional shifts away from explicit teaching. 39 For higher ed administrators, this means bridging wider gaps to sustain program quality.

Provincial Variations: How Regional Declines Hit Local Universities Differently

Declines vary by province, amplifying impacts on local postsecondary institutions. British Columbia saw a 34-point PISA drop, straining UBC and Simon Fraser University's engineering cohorts. Newfoundland and Labrador faces acute issues, with Memorial University math department head Herbert Gaskill warning of students unable to access desired programs. 10 Quebec fares relatively better, thanks to structured curricula, supporting institutions like McGill and Université de Montréal.

• B.C.: Sharpest PISA decline, higher STEM attrition at UBC.
• Ontario: Steady drop, Toronto universities expanding bridges.
• Alberta: Higher baseline but trending down, U of A remedial uptick.
• Atlantic provinces: TIMSS lows, college math remediation surges.

Community colleges like BCIT and Seneca College report 20-30% of entrants needing math upgrades, diverting resources from advanced training. For prospective faculty eyeing roles in math-heavy departments, check openings at higher ed faculty jobs on AcademicJobs.com.

Admissions and Readiness: Universities Adjust to Weaker Math Foundations

Canadian universities are recalibrating admissions amid declining math proficiency. Competitive STEM programs at Waterloo, McMaster, and UBC increasingly weigh supplementary assessments, as high school grades inflate amid grade compression. A Fraser Institute analysis notes one-in-five students at lowest PISA levels, with Canadian-born underperforming immigrants—impacting diversity in higher ed. 3

Institutions like the University of Toronto offer math boot camps, while colleges such as Humber and Fanshawe integrate diagnostics. This readiness gap delays degree completion, raising costs for students and taxpayers. Explore career advice for navigating these shifts via higher ed career advice.

STEM Enrollment and Retention: A Ticking Time Bomb for Higher Ed

STEM fields, comprising 20% of university programs, suffer most. Poor math skills limit access, contributing to Canada's STEM shortage amid digital transformation. 21 Enrollment in engineering at Queen's University dipped 10% post-PISA 2022, with retention faltering in calculus sequences. Professors report 30-40% D/F/W rates in first-year math, per internal data from multiple institutions.

Even graduates struggle: 25-35% of Canadian-born bachelor's holders show low numeracy, per Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies (PIAAC). 25 This hampers research output and alumni employability. C.D. Howe on STEM gaps.

Faculty Perspectives: Professors Demand Curriculum Overhauls

Higher ed faculty are vocal. SFU's warnings underscore economic peril, while Memorial's Gaskill laments "lifetime of unfilled dreams." 71 10 Math departments at UBC and U of T advocate explicit instruction in teacher training, criticizing "discovery math." Rate professors' teaching effectiveness at Rate My Professor to inform choices.

Remedial Initiatives: Colleges and Universities Step Up Support

Colleges lead remediation: Conestoga and Langara offer pre-calculus bridges, enrolling thousands annually. Universities like Ryerson (TMU) embed tutors in first-year courses. Yet, scalability strains budgets. Successful pilots use AI diagnostics, boosting pass rates 15-20%.

• Diagnostic testing on entry.
• Modular online modules.
• Peer mentoring by upper-years.

These efforts preserve access but highlight systemic K-12 failures. Job seekers in ed tech, see research assistant jobs.

Economic Stakes: Higher Ed's Role in National Competitiveness

Declining math erodes Canada's innovation edge. STEM grads fuel tech hubs like Waterloo Corridor, but shortages project 100,000+ vacancies by 2030. Universities must produce proficient alumni; current trends risk brain drain. Math Potentials analysis. 10

Lessons from High Performers: Quebec and Global Benchmarks

Quebec's explicit curricula yield top scores, bolstering McGill's STEM prowess. Singapore's mastery focus offers models. Canadian unis study these for reforms.

Innovative Solutions Emerging from Campuses

UBC's math circles, UQAM partnerships with K-12. Faculty development in direct instruction gains traction.

Photo by Theo on Unsplash

Pathways Forward: Collaborative Reforms for Recovery

C.D. Howe urges policy: teacher math training, phonics-like math basics. 52 Universities lobby provinces. Future: hybrid models blending inquiry with mastery.

In conclusion, addressing this crisis demands unified action. Aspiring educators, find roles at higher ed jobs, professor jobs, university jobs. Share insights at Rate My Professor or seek advice via higher ed career advice. Post opportunities at post a job.