The Explosion at Dunmurry Police Station

Late on Saturday night, April 25, 2026, a dramatic security incident unfolded in the Dunmurry area of southwest Belfast, Northern Ireland. Around 10:50 PM, a hijacked car pulled up outside the local Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) station. The driver, believed to have been coerced at gunpoint in the nearby Twinbrook estate, alerted station staff to the presence of a suspicious device inside the vehicle. What followed was a tense evacuation of nearby residents, including families with two young babies, as police officers worked swiftly to secure the area.

The tension escalated when the improvised explosive device detonated shortly after, sending flames and debris into the night sky. Miraculously, no one was injured in the blast, though the explosion was powerful enough to shake windows in surrounding homes. Forensic teams descended on the scene early Sunday morning, combing through the wreckage of the charred vehicle, which contained a gas cylinder believed to have been the primary explosive component. Roads were closed, and a major security operation was launched, with an ongoing police presence in Twinbrook linked to the hijacking.

PSNI Launches Attempted Murder Probe

The Police Service of Northern Ireland wasted no time in classifying the incident as an attempted murder investigation, led by their Terrorism Investigation Unit. Deputy Chief Constable Bobby Singleton addressed the media on Sunday morning, describing the attack as a 'reckless and cowardly act' designed explicitly to kill police officers and cause maximum harm in a residential neighborhood. 'This was not a random event; it was targeted violence against those who serve to keep our communities safe,' Singleton stated, praising the bravery of officers who evacuated residents under imminent threat.

Singleton highlighted the 'murderous intent' behind the operation, noting that the device's placement outside the station during night shift changeover maximized risk to personnel. The PSNI has appealed for public information, particularly CCTV footage from the Twinbrook area where the car—a food delivery vehicle—was hijacked. A separate security alert remains in place there, underscoring the ongoing nature of the probe. Authorities have urged the public to remain vigilant, warning that dissident groups retain the capability for such attacks despite their diminished numbers.

Suspicions Point to the New IRA

Early indications from police sources strongly suggest the involvement of the New IRA, a dissident republican paramilitary group opposed to the 1998 Good Friday Agreement. While no formal claim of responsibility has been made as of Sunday afternoon, the modus operandi—hijacking a civilian vehicle to deliver a bomb to a police target—bears hallmarks of New IRA tactics. The group, formed in 2012 from a merger of the Real IRA and other factions including Republican Action Against Drugs (RAAD), has a history of targeting security forces to undermine the peace process.

The timing is particularly ominous, coming just days after the New IRA claimed responsibility for a similar proxy bomb attempt at a police station in Lurgan, County Armagh, on March 31, 2026. In that incident, a pizza delivery driver was forced at gunpoint to transport the device, echoing the Dunmurry hijacking. Policing Board Chairman Brendan Mullan labeled the Dunmurry blast 'shameless,' emphasizing it occurred 'in the heart of a community' while families were being protected by police.

A Brief History of the New IRA and Dissident Republicans

The New IRA emerged from the ashes of the Real IRA, founded in 1997 by dissidents who rejected the Provisional IRA's ceasefire and entry into politics via Sinn Féin. Disillusioned with the peace process, they viewed the Good Friday Agreement as a betrayal of republican ideals. By 2012, the group absorbed RAAD, expanding its focus from purely political violence to community 'policing' through punishment attacks on alleged criminals, alongside sporadic assaults on police and military targets.

Estimated at 50-100 active members, the New IRA operates primarily in border areas and republican strongholds like west Belfast, Lurgan, and Derry. Their arsenal includes improvised explosive devices (IEDs), firearms, and under-vehicle bombs. Notable past attacks include the 2019 murder of journalist Lyra McKee in Derry and the 2023 attempted murder of PSNI Detective Chief Inspector John Caldwell. Despite MI5 rating the Northern Ireland-related terror threat as 'substantial' (attack likely), fatalities have been rare since 2009, with violence shifting to intimidation and low-level bombings.

Photo by Emanuel Kypreos on Unsplash

Recent Escalation in Dissident Activity

2026 has seen a concerning uptick in New IRA operations. The Lurgan proxy bomb in late March marked their first claimed attack of the year, followed by threats in Newry and Mourne against politicians over immigration policies. A New Year's statement urged volunteers to target 'crown forces,' signaling renewed intent amid post-Brexit tensions and economic strains.

Statistics from the Police Service of Northern Ireland show dissident-related incidents rose 15% in 2025, with 25 security alerts and several viable devices neutralized. The Independent Reporting Commission (IRC), tasked with monitoring paramilitarism, noted in its February 2026 report persistent coercive control, though outright violence remains below Troubles-era levels. Punishment attacks—kneecappings, beatings—numbered 27 in 2025, often linked to drug debts rather than politics.

• 2020-2022: Low activity during COVID, focus on internal discipline.
• 2023: Caldwell shooting, heightened alerts.
• 2024: Pipe bombs, hoax devices.
• 2025-2026: Proxy bombs return, immigration rhetoric.

Community and Political Reactions

Condemnation poured in from across Northern Ireland's political spectrum. Alliance Justice Minister Naomi Long warned of dissidents' 'capacity for destruction,' despite small numbers, urging community rejection. Sinn Féin MLA Sorcha Eastwood called it 'distressing,' while DUP leader Gavin Robinson labeled it 'mindless thuggery' undermining peace. Policing Board members praised PSNI bravery, with one noting the evacuation prevented tragedy amid two babies present.

Local residents expressed shock, with one mother recounting carrying her baby from home as the blast occurred. Community leaders highlighted the psychological toll, evoking Troubles memories in areas scarred by decades of violence. Stormont parties united in calls for enhanced security funding, amid fears of escalation around Easter commemorations.

Implications for Northern Ireland's Peace Process

The Good Friday Agreement, signed in 1998, ended 30 years of conflict claiming over 3,500 lives, establishing power-sharing and decommissioning. Yet dissidents reject it as 'partitionist,' viewing PSNI as 'British occupation force.' This attack underscores persistent challenges: post-Brexit border frictions, socioeconomic deprivation in republican areas fueling recruitment, and online radicalization.

While violence pales compared to the Troubles (100+ deaths annually), each incident erodes confidence. The IRC's 2026 report warns paramilitaries exert control over 15-30% of NI communities through extortion and vigilantism, hindering normalization. Brexit's Northern Ireland Protocol, though resolved somewhat, reignited grievances over 'economic partition.'

Security Measures and Ongoing Challenges

PSNI maintains robust counter-terror capabilities, including MI5 integration and surveillance. Post-2019, threat levels fluctuate, with dissidents adapting via proxies to avoid detection. Recent arrests in MI5 stings disrupted plots, but capability persists—AK-47s, Semtex from Libya stockpiles.

Challenges include youth recruitment amid 20% youth unemployment in deprived areas, social media for threats, and cross-border movement. Government invests £1.5bn in PSNI over five years, but officers face burnout from 24/7 vigilance. Community policing and deradicalization programs like Exit NI aim to address root causes.

Photo by Jeff Kingma on Unsplash

Expert Perspectives on Paramilitary Persistence

Security analysts like Dr. Graham Spencer note dissidents thrive on marginalization, with violence as identity assertion. 'Small but resilient, they exploit grievances without mass support,' he says. Former PSNI Chief Constable Simon Byrne emphasizes community resilience: 'NI has moved on; these acts isolate perpetrators.'

Academic John Morrison highlights internal brakes limiting escalation, unlike PIRA's 1970s campaign. Yet IRC Chair Aidan McCarthy warns coercive control 'strangleholds' businesses, with protection rackets netting millions annually.

Path Forward: Combating Threats Holistically

Eradicating paramilitarism requires addressing inequality—£3.5bn UK investment in NI regeneration targets this. Education, youth programs, and economic growth counter recruitment. Political unity post-attack signals resolve, with calls for renewed decommissioning talks.

Actionable insights: Communities report suspicions via Crimestoppers; politicians prioritize anti-extortion laws; security forces leverage tech like AI surveillance. Long-term, fostering shared prosperity ensures peace endures against relics of conflict.

Northern Ireland's resilience shines: from Troubles to stable devolution, this incident tests but won't derail progress.