Project Outline

Vaccines are among the most effective tools for controlling infectious diseases, yet vaccination uptake in the UK has declined in recent years. Understanding the economic and behavioural determinants of vaccine hesitancy is central to effective public-health policy and pandemic preparedness.

This PhD project lies at the intersection of economic epidemiology, political economy, and data-driven analysis. It will develop economic models to study how vaccination decisions are shaped by misinformation, trust in institutions, and socio-economic heterogeneity, and how these forces interact over time.

The project has three closely linked components.

Theoretical modelling in economic epidemiology using modern dynamic frameworks that integrate disease transmission with individual behaviour, incentives, and policy interventions.
Rigorous empirical analysis of UK data to identify the socio-economic and political-economic determinants of vaccine uptake with a focus on causal interpretation and policy relevance.
The role of misinformation and information environments using state-of-the-art large language models (LLMs) linking these measures to observed vaccination outcomes.

Training, collaboration and supervision

The student will be based in the Department of Economics, Birmingham Business School, and will follow the ESRC DTP training pathway, receiving advanced instruction in economic theory, econometrics, and research methods. Additional training in economic epidemiology modelling, machine learning, text analysis, and computational methods will be available.

The studentship includes a structured placement at UKHSA, offering direct exposure to policy-facing analysis and public-health modelling.

Candidate profile

Applicants should have

A strong quantitative background in economics or a closely related discipline.
Be comfortable working with large-scale data and conducting rigorous empirical analysis. Prior experience with research projects is desirable.
Experience with programming and computational methods is an advantage. This includes familiarity with languages such as Python, R, Julia, or similar, and exposure to data science, machine learning, or text-as-data methods.

Strong analytical foundations and the ability to learn new methods are more important than prior experience with specific tools. The project is well suited to candidates with experience in analytical and mathematical methods and an interest in combining economic theory with empirical research.

Application Process

To be considered for this PhD, please complete the Collaborative Studentship application form available online via the 'Apply' button above. Applicants will be required to upload an anonymised CV, anonymised cover letter, and transcripts as part of the online application process.

Application deadline: Sunday 7th June